All divisions are not created equal. Last year the New York Giants missed the playoffs with a 10-6 record mainly because they played in the brutal NFC East. If they played in the NFC West they surely would have had a chance to go further into the season. Some divisions are top heavy while others have teams that are constantly rebuilding and searching for an identity. Unfortunately just like life the NFL isn't always fair. That being said here's how the AFC South will shake out.
Division winner: Indianapolis Colts. Peyton Manning had neck surgery in the off season and if he doesn't come back 100% the Colts will find themselves in the unfamiliar role of cellar dwellers. I have the utmost confidence however that Manning will be ready to go for the regular season and the Colts will cruise to their 8th title in 10 years.
2nd place: Houston Texans. Personally, I question whether or not Arian Foster is a one hit wonder. He burst onto the scene last year out of nowhere, but has yet to see the field this season nursing a hamstring injury. The Texans have a knack for losing close games and when you're chasing the Colts that's a recipe for disaster.
3rd place: Jacksonville Jaguars. We know the Jags will play solid defense and control the time of possession with Maurice Jones-Drew, but the quarterback position is still a big question mark. Blaine Gabbert is the heir apparent to David Garrard and if the rookie takes the helm this season there will be growing pains a plenty.
Last place: Tennessee Titans. The Titans have a first year head coach, a brittle quarterback learning a new system, and a superstar running back that's holding out. History has shown us running backs that hold out of training camp end up on the injured reserve list by the 4th week of the season. If the Titans lose Chris Johnson for an extended amount of time they might not win 4 games.